Thursday, 29 May 2014

Boko Haram: Security experts give reasons Nigerian Army may not win the war







Emeka Ibemere
No time has the Nigerian Army polarized than these perilous times in history. Not even during the civil war did they flop in quelling the Biafran-rag-tag army of untrained civilian soldiers with little or no military know-how. But they have found it very tasking, fighting another rag-tag sectarian goons for four years.
Prior to now, one of the major contributions of the armed forces of the modern Nigerian- nation was its participation in peace keeping operations in various parts of the world.
From Congo through Lebanon, Chad, Somalia, Rwanda and Yugoslavia to the more recent peace enforcement operations in Liberia and Sierra Leone, the contributions of the Nigerian armed forces to these operations, despite casualties, has always been prompt. These records made the Nigerian Army a force to reckon in Africa, which is her centrepiece of foreign Policy drive.
One of the major contributions of the armed forces of the modern Nigerian nation is its participation in peace keeping operations in various parts of the world. From Congo through Lebanon, Chad, Somalia, Rwanda and Yugoslavia to the more recent peace enforcement operations in Liberia and Sierra Leone, the contributions of the Nigerian armed forces to these operations, despite casualties, has always been prompt. This underlines Nigeria's interest in peace and stability around the world but especially in Africa, which is the centrepiece of Nigeria's foreign policy drive.
Peace keeping and sometimes peace enforcement have therefore become paramount to Nigeria. Material and human resources of the armed forces have been continually committed to these operations.

One significant gain, however, is that by participating in such operations, the armed forces have acquired new information, new technology and new skills that will be beneficial to attaining higher standards of professionalism.
Historically, the Nigerian Armed Forces could be said to have come into existence in 1862 when Lt. Glover of the Royal Navy, then governor of Lagos, organised a group of 18 armed Hausas into a militia known as ‘Glover Hausas’. This group later increased to 40, in conjunction with the West Indian regiment, provided security for Lagos. Later again, reports said they increased to 100, and were renamed ‘Lagos Constabulary’ and eventually took over the garrisoning of Lagos from the West Indian regiment.

By 1886, when the Royal Niger Company was granted a charter by the British government, it became necessary to extend protection to British trading interests in the north. The Royal Niger Constabulary was thus formed as the second indigenous military force with the assignment of protecting all business interests of the Royal Niger Company.

This constabulary constituted the nucleus of the 1 and 2 battalions of the Northern Nigeria Regiment in 1900. In response to the frequent conflicts between Liverpool traders and Brass men on one hand, and the Royal Niger Company on the other, the third constabulary was formed by Major M. McDonald in 1890 and called the Oil Rivers Irregulars (also nicknamed the Forty Thieves). In 1891, it was renamed the Niger Coast Constabulary with its headquarters at Calabar.

Apart from their general police duties, the constabularies were raised primarily to subjugate local opposition to British penetration and rule in Nigeria and to serve as an auxiliary force for strengthening British forces in their bid to stop any reckless expansionism by rival foreign powers like France and Germany. These constabularies remained in that status till 1897. Ever since Nigerian armed forces took root, it has not failed to be concerned with African conflicts where they have played a key role in serving in the UN peacekeeping force in Congo in the 1960s and pursued Africanist causes and gave strong backing to the liberation movements in Southern Africa.
Despite all these high points, in Africa and the globe recorded by the Nigerian army, they have become like a physician who cannot heal himself under a sever sickness. For four years, Nigeria army has been in battle with Boko Haram insurgents in the North Central part of Nigeria with its attendant consequences being felt by the country.
Almost every segment of the country has felt their pulse- Muslims, Christians, Army, Police and Airforce barracks have been attacked in more debased and devastated manner. Since inception of the dreaded sect, government said over 12,000 lives have been lost to a group of goons who have drawn a battle line against the government forces. The once, continental super -force in peace Keeping and Peace enforcement has failed to restore peace in the northern zone of Nigeria with their might and intelligence. But why has the Nigeria Army failed in her own case?
 The United States said that the Nigerian military is becoming afraid of engaging the Boko Haram insurgents. According to the recent reports, the US Air Force Chief of staff, Gen. Mark Welsh III testifying on last week before the Senate Foreign Relations Committee said, “We’re now looking at a military force that is, quite frankly, becoming afraid to even engage. The United States doesn’t have the capacity, the capability to go rescue every kidnapped person around the world.”
The New York Times also reported that the US might choose to minimise its involvement in the search for the over 200 schoolgirls abducted by Boko Haram due to doubts over Nigeria’s military capabilities. It was also reported that the US had questioned the ability of the Nigerian military to rescue the girls even with international help.
 According to the Pentagon’s Principal Director for African Affairs, Alice Friend, “The Nigerian military has the same challenges with corruption that every other institution in Nigeria does. Much of the funding that goes to the Nigerian military is skimmed off the top, if you will”.
US officials have also said that its involvement had also been made difficult because Nigerian officials ignored past warnings to soften brutal tactics that only fuelled the Boko Haram’s insurgency.
In spite of these observations by the US, senate Foreign Relations Committee hearing, officials condemned the kidnappings and committed American aid to help rescue the girls. But they also expressed frustration at Nigeria’s political and military leaders for failing to heed Washington’s warnings about the extremist group.
Principal Deputy Assistant Secretary of State for African Affairs, Robert Jackson said.

 “From our own difficult experiences in Afghanistan and Iraq, we know that turning the tide of an insurgency requires more than force. The state must demonstrate to its citizens that it can protect them and offer them opportunity. When soldiers destroy towns, kill civilians and detain innocent people with impunity, mistrust takes root.”
Speaking on why the Nigerian Army cannot win the war against Boko Haram, Borno State Governor Kashim Shettima painted a picture of doubt and gave reasons why the country’s security operatives are finding it hard to win the war against insurgency in Nigeria’s northeast.
Some weeks ago, when he was addressing State House Correspondents after meeting with President Goodluck Jonathan on the latest attacks by the terrorist sect at Izge in Gwoza Local government of the state, Shettima noted that members of terrorist sect, Boko Haram, were better armed than the security operatives expected to smoke them out. He added that they are also better motivated by their financiers to continue wreaking havoc on the nation.
“What we are being confronted with is that we are in a state of war. It is what I came to update Mr. President; the sooner we stopped playing the ostrich and rise up to the challenges of the day, and Marshall all resources towards neutralising the antics of Boko Haram, the better for all of us.
“But the bottom line is that we need more resources, more boot on ground. In all fairness to the officers and men of the Nigerian Army and Police, they are doing their best given the circumstances they have found themselves in. But honestly Boko Haram are better armed and are better motivated than our own troops. And believe me, I am an eternal optimist as I have always said but I am also a realist. Given the present state of affairs, it is absolutely impossible for us to defeat Boko Haram,” he said.
With the President declaring a state of emergency in the three states in order to tackle the Boko Haram insurgency, many Nigerians gave sigh of relief thinking that the battle would soon be over, but few weeks after however, the war with the terrorist group rages on with the group focusing more on innocent civilians. Villages, members of vigilante teams as well as students have suffered deadly attacks from the Boko Haram sect.
However, a question on the lips of the frightening mass of the country is whether Nigeria’s military forces are capable of winning the war against terror or not.
Security experts disclosed that some factors are responsible on why the government and the military cannot win the war. According to them, the politicization of the war by the military is part of the reasons. Reports said some ‘powerful’ politicians are behind the group. Political statements are being made on a daily basis, further laying credence to insinuations that some forces are more powerful than the state.
“The absence of a substantive Defence Minister is also not helping matters. The Minister for Defence should be someone who will be able to decipher military language, so that the Defence Ministry will live up to its billing. Presently, it is an open secret that the Ministry of Defence is not operating at its full potential”, a report stated.
Also working against the Nigeria military in the Boko Haram war, is an alleged operational deficiencies especially within the chain of command, which has also given the terrorists more confidence in the war. A certain report also quoted that the anti-terror fighting force had grossly under-stocked armouries. General Mohammed Yusuf of the Nigerian Army confirmed that during a gunfight with Boko Haram in Gubio, Borno State in September, soldiers ran out of ammunition and as a result, the country lost an officer and dozens of valiant men.
According to him, it’s an indication that the terrorists in some cases could be better equipped even than the army as the General disclosed that the terrorists were armed with anti-aircraft guns.
A report from a Street Journal said one other thing that worked against the soldiers according to was that the aerial operation that should have preceded the advancement of the troops was cancelled at the last minute without proper communication with the soldiers who had already advanced.
But despite the alleged superiority of the Boko Haram goons over the Nigeria Army, military spokesman, Brigadier General Ibrahim Attahiru denied the claims but stated that the terrorists are not better armed than Nigerian troops.
 It was reported that some months ago, the terrorists allegedly swooped on the military camp and caught the soldiers unaware. While 15 of the terrorists were killed in the shootout that ensued, not less than 12 military men were lost or unaccounted for.
Even Abubakar Shekau had the effrontery to claim that his men overran a military camp and soldiers fled. In the video that has been tagged “fake” by military authorities, Shekau claimed that Boko Haram captured an Armoured Personnel Carrier and a Hilux van belonging to the Joint Task Force. Investigation said Nigerian soldiers are often under-equipped.
Speaking on why the military seems to have failed in their national task of protecting the national security, a security expert of 36 years of experience in policing and investigation, the Lagos State former Commissioner of Police, Alhaji Abubakar Tsav, recalled that the war against insurgency was a very difficult one to fight because, according to him, the enemy is not known and their territory are not defined. He said. “The insurgents don’t wear any marks of identity. This apart, the Boko Haram insurgents are mixed with members of the general public and are using guerrilla war tactics”. He continued,   “They are also alleged to be better equipped than our soldiers. Our troops are said to be not properly looked after”.
Tsav also claimed the media reports that some military commanders are sympathetic to Boko Haram. “It is said that our soldiers and other politicians are making a lot of money from the insurgency and would not like the crises to end. These and other reasons pose a stumbling block against military success in their campaign against Boko Haram”, he concluded.
President General Easter Union, a social-cultural organization of the old East Central States in Lagos State, Honourable Charles Anike, disclosed that Nigeria forces cannot win the Boko Haram war because of what he simply –sabotage.
 According to him, there were very grave dangers in the execution of the Boko Haram war by the Nigeria troop because of saboteurs in their rank. “There are serious and too many saboteurs in our security system as far as this insurgency are concerned. The sect has successfully infiltrated our security forces, so much so that before you make any plan, they are already alerted”, he quipped.
He explained that so many factors are responsible for the failure of the Nigeria army in combating Boko Haram.
To him, religious sympathy, financial gains, political considerations and balancing of power equation are the major factors that have made the Nigeria army cheap and weak in enforcing their military role in maintaining peace and order in the growing restiveness and war of attrition in Nigeria. He said Nigeria military forces are now military with ‘tribal marks’ and expressed fear if such an army could win a war.
Anike disclosed that tribal sentiments of the military arose because there is an ongoing gang up against President Goodluck Jonathan’s led government because of his tribe. “There is also unbridled corruption in the military”, he said. 
Former army officer and now a Public Relation consultant, who wouldn’t want his name mentioned, said Nigeria Army is weak due to some factors of motivation in terms of welfare of soldiers. “Some of them are not happy because those that lost their lives have their families treated shabbily. In USA, if a soldier dies in an operation, the family becomes millionaires because the government will take all their bills but here, it is not the case. This affects morale”, he stated

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